From Dune to Waterworld: Part II

Fire and Ice, Venus and Mars, are just beyond the limits of the Habitable Zone in our solar system. How might worlds turn out differently, on the Outer Fringe….

Good question. People have noted before now that Mars and Venus seem to be in the wrong places – if Mars was in Venus’ orbit and Venus in Mars’ then they both might be habitable. Or at least able to have liquid water on their surfaces.

Would they? Venus has about 1000 tons of carbon dioxide sitting on every square metre of its terrain, much like an ocean worth of the stuff. If the planet cooled to its effective temperature, 235 K (-38oC), then the CO2 would become unstable against condensation. Its liquid range is between ~-79oC and 31oC at ~5 and 74 bars respectively. Thus it really would form an ocean if the planet was cool enough as Raymond Pierrehumbert points out…

Atmospheric collapse on Venus-like planets orbiting M-dwarfs

…thus the inspiration for this piece. Venus is, technically, an Ocean Planet already with an ocean of supercritical CO2 below the 74 bar pressure line and some enzymes will work quite happily in supercritical CO2. A cooler Venus, with a deep CO2 ocean, could conceivably host some form of life, albeit without the lipid bilayer cell walls terrestrial life employs, as they require polar solvents to form. Carbon dioxide is definitely non-polar.

What of oceans more like our own? A real Ocean Planet will probably form a Snowball beyond a certain distance from its Sun without some super-strength Greenhouse gases. Why so? The trick is to do with the albedo feedback mechanism – basically what happens is that a bit of snow forms sea-ice increasing the planet’s reflectivity (albedo), thus reducing the amount of heat reaching the sea, thus forming more sea-ice… and before you know it the whole sea is locked in ice right down to the equator. It happened to Earth several times during the late Proterozoic and would happen on any Earth-ish planet just a bit further out from the Sun. Without serious greenhouse gases that is.

Carbon dioxide isn’t bad, but it forms high albedo clouds of ice crystals when the planet is creeping out to ~1.3-1.4 AU. If such clouds covered a planet 100% then they’d be a fantastic greenhouse heat-trapping layer – Pierrehumbert’s early work on them gave Mars a toasty 25oC surface even when the Sun was at 70% of its current luminosity. Problem is they probably can’t give total coverage, thus reflecting away more than they can trap.

Methane is a better gas at trapping heat, but it has a limitation: the anti-Greenhouse effect. This is Titan’s problem – a world-girdling high-altitude haze layer of ‘polymerised’ methane by-products which stops the light/heat from getting to the ground. Simulation work by James Kasting et.al. shows that the haze kicks in when the CO2/CH4 concentration ratio approaches unity.

Ammonia is even better at trapping heat, but just doesn’t last under the UV bombardment from a G2 star. A cooler star, with a lower UV output, would allow the stuff to survive, but into red-dwarf territory there’s too much UV/x-rays from flares, at least around younger red-dwarfs.

So what to do? Surprisingly a decent greenhouse can be achieved with hydrogen/helium…

Ocean-bearing planets near the ice line: How far does the water’s edge go?

…in fact with more than 200 bar of H/He the surface is too hot for liquid water at all. The planet just doesn’t cool enough. So how do you get it cool enough?

Take away the Sun… Part III

We’re All Africans

African tribe populated rest of the world – Telegraph.

Simple really. We were all Africans some 60,000 years ago, then a tribe got a bit of wanderlust and left. More probably a corridor opened up along the coasts and we spread out. In Europe we encountered Homo neanderthalensis, in Java we met Asian Homo erectus and on Flores, the Hobbits Homo floresiensis. Did we kill them? Trade with them? Give them flu? Or out-compete them for a common resource? By c.30-25,000 years ago it was just Homo sapiens and the Hobbits… are they still around like old Indonesia legends say? Or was the eruption on Flores c. 12,000 bp their Waterloo?

Theory of Brown Dwarfs and their kin

[astro-ph/0006383] Theory of Low-Mass Stars and Substellar Objects.

Excellent paper on Brown dwarfs with model figures on radius, temperature and luminosity, plus different spectral band strengths, for a number of ages of the model brown dwarfs. In otherwords a major resource for a whole range of papers that have followed in the 9 years since.

Monoliths of Mars

I personally hope that one of our many probes to the planets will turn up an anomaly that can’t be explained as a natural formation. The weird thing in Saturn’s rings, the white spot of Venus and rectangular craters on the Moon are pretty odd, but not overly compelling – the scale is too vast or our resolution is too poor. Yet the Monoliths of Mars (and Phobos) are kind of cool…

Triad of Monoliths on Mars

Buzz Aldrin discusses the Phobos Monolith

…I think Buzz is pretty sure the Phobos ‘object’ is just a boulder BUT that’s not the point. Doesn’t matter how good our resolution gets, we just won’t know what these things are until we can go look for ourselves… and that’s reason enough to get to the planets! Because we don’t know/can’t know what we’ll find in person.

And I think getting there is getting easier all the time. We don’t need nukes necessarily either. Ultra-light photovoltaic arrays are being developed which can supply in-space electrical power at 10 kWe/kg. RTGs struggle to get 10-20 W/kg and solid-core nuclear reactors struggle to get ~0.1-0.5 kWe/kg, so those space-rated ultra-light PVs are a step ahead. We just need a decent rocket to attach them too, and as I have discussed here a few posts ago VASIMR is the right rocket for the job.

But there’s another point in favour of such systems IMHO… they provide a LOT of power even when you’re not flying between the planets. Megawatts of power on Phobos can power space refuelling systems, extracting water from the rocks and electrolysing it for LH2/LOX propellant. Then a Mars lander can be fuelled AT Mars, so we don’t have to cart the stuff all the way from Earth (and watch 20% boil-off en route.) A Mars lander can then land on FULL rocket thrust after a bit of aerobraking and NOT stack like just about every other landing scenario yet studied.